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Shipping Alliances: Gemini Cooperation shifts tugboat demand in 2025

By
January 21, 2025

How Shipping Alliance Restructuring and Market Insights Shape Tugboat Demand and Fleet Optimization

Shipping Alliances: Gemini Cooperation shifts tugboat demand in 2025

Global shipping alliances are undergoing transformative changes, reshaping container shipping networks and tugboat operations worldwide. This article explores how alliance restructuring impacts tugboat demand, highlights fleet optimization strategies, and provides actionable insights for towage operators to adapt to a rapidly changing maritime landscape.

Shipping alliances impact on tugboat demand 2025 - Gemini cooperation and dissolved 2m alliance
Introduction – Change Within Shipping Alliances and Its Impact

The container shipping network is undergoing a transformation due to significant changes in global shipping alliances, such as the dissolution of the 2M Alliance between Maersk and MSC, and the establishment of the Gemini Cooperation between Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd. These shifts are reshaping vessel deployment strategies, port call patterns, and ultimately, the demand for tugboat operations in ports across the globe. In this article, we shall also explore the expected impact on tug demand in the port of Rotterdam.

The Impact of Shipping Alliance Restructuring on Tug Job Volume

The reorganization of global shipping alliances has introduced significant changes to container shipping networks globally. The dissolution of the 2M Alliance and the formation of the Gemini Cooperation will both reshape vessel schedules and port call frequencies. These shifts have a direct impact on tugboat demand at major European ports, requiring operators to adapt to the changing dynamics of vessel traffic and port operations.

As large container ships are redeployed or rerouted within these new shipping alliances, the frequency and size of vessel calls can fluctuate, leading to unpredictable spikes or drops in tug operations. Moreover, towage operators are expected to face increased resource and cost pressures, requiring flexible strategies to maintain service quality while managing operational expenses. In 2025, ports like Rotterdam and Bremen are expected to see an increase in tug jobs as shipping lines increase the number of port calls there. In contrast, other ports could experience reduced tug operations as shipping alliances refine their network efficiency, or experience a more stable situation, as it is expected for Antwerp. To adapt to these changes, towage companies should stay informed about evolving network patterns, proactively anticipating their impact on port activity.

Expected impact on the Port of Rotterdam

An analysis of vessel activity on the eeSea platform (www.eesea.com) in the Port of Rotterdam reveals intriguing trends in operational costs over time, providing valuable insights for towage operators and port stakeholders. From March onward, forecasts indicate an increase in vessel arrivals to Rotterdam, driven by shifting trade patterns and changes in shipping alliance networks.

A closer look at vessel data highlights color-coded classifications that distinguish between major and minor container lines, allowing operators to identify trends tied to specific carriers. The dataset also includes a “null category” for vessels where operator details are yet to be confirmed, reflecting the dynamic nature of maritime logistics. These insights are essential for refining tug allocation strategies, ensuring resources are efficiently deployed to meet the anticipated surge in activity while accounting for operator-specific requirements.

Port operator tracking chart for Rotterdam highlighting vessel trends influenced by global shipping alliances. Reflects changes from the dissolution of the 2M Alliance and the creation of the Gemini Cooperation. Key insights into vessel activity shifts driven by alliance restructuring and market dynamics.
Image: Analysis of Port of Rotterdam by eeSea

What Does the Increase Mean for Operators?

When a shipping network changes, it brings a cascade of variables that directly impact tugboat operations, requiring operators to adjust their resources strategically. Among these variables, the number of vessel calls is the most immediate determinant of tug job volume, as an increase in ship arrivals typically translates to higher tug demand. However, other factors complicate the equation, including vessel size, terminal assignments, vessel operator, and arrival and departure windows.

Larger vessels, such as ultra-large container ships, require more powerful tugs or multiple tugs to ensure safe maneuvering. The duration of tug jobs may also increase for these vessels, further influencing capacity requirements. Terminal assignments introduce additional considerations, as certain terminals may pose greater maneuverability challenges or require specific tug capabilities, such as higher bollard pull or specialized propulsion types. For instance, some terminals in Rotterdam are known for their unique configurations, requiring tugs with particular operational characteristics to navigate effectively.

The carrier operating the vessels also plays a role, as towage companies often have contractual arrangements with specific shipping lines. Changes in network configurations may shift volumes among carriers, potentially impacting the distribution of jobs among tug operators. Additionally, arrival and departure windows affect the simultaneity of jobs. Ports like Rotterdam, which handle multiple large vessels at once, may see surges in demand during peak periods, requiring precise planning to prevent bottlenecks.

Operators must consider all these variables to translate network changes into actionable tug capacity planning. For example, a 20% increase in vessel volume does not necessarily mean a proportional increase in job numbers or tug requirements. Instead, operators must analyze how the timing and nature of these jobs will evolve, as well as whether existing resources can handle simultaneous demands.

By using predictive analytics and real-time data, towage companies can forecast these shifts more accurately, aligning their fleet capacities to meet the nuanced requirements of the evolving shipping landscape. Real-life examples, such as shifts in alliances that redirect larger vessels to Rotterdam’s busiest terminals, demonstrate the importance of adaptable strategies. With careful planning and robust market insights, operators can navigate these changes while maintaining service quality and controlling costs.

Download full report of predictive analysis for 2025 of major ports in Europe

Leveraging Market Insights to Optimize Tug Operations

Faced with the challenges of fluctuating tugboat demand, towage operators can embrace precise, data-driven strategies to optimize their fleet operations. LionRock Maritime, in partnership with eeSea—a leading container shipping market data provider—delivers powerful insights to support these decisions. By combining eeSea’s expertise in analyzing vessel schedules, sizes, and operator patterns with LionRock’s advanced tools, operators can effectively assess how these factors influence tug capacity requirements. This partnership empowers operators to identify emerging trends, ensure optimal resource deployment, and maintain seamless operations in a rapidly evolving maritime landscape.

Conclusion – Preparing for the Future of Towage Services

The restructuring of shipping alliances (the dissolution of 2M Alliance and the formation of Gemini Cooperation) presents both challenges and opportunities for tugboat operators. Adapting to these shifts demands strategic planning and reliance on advanced market insights.

By forecasting demand, optimizing fleet allocation, and enhancing operational efficiency, companies can maintain a competitive edge in a rapidly changing maritime industry.

As the shipping landscape continues to evolve, towage operators must place a strong emphasis on flexibility and innovation. The restructuring of shipping alliances and changing market dynamics require operators to adapt quickly and efficiently. By leveraging advanced analytics and fostering strategic partnerships, operators can gain valuable insights into shifting vessel networks and port activity. This proactive approach enables them to better anticipate demand fluctuations, optimize fleet resources, and adjust operations accordingly. Embracing these strategies will not only help ensure operational efficiency, but also position towage companies for long-term profitability in an increasingly complex maritime environment.

Adapting Tugboat Operations to Shipping Alliance Restructures and Market Trends

Enhance your tugboat fleet optimization by partnering with us today. Together, we can help you navigate the evolving maritime landscape and ensure your operations remain efficient and responsive to change. LionRock Maritime, in collaboration with industry experts eeSea, provides powerful tools to optimize tugboat operations and align your fleet with the latest market trends. Gain insights into vessel schedules, port call patterns, and tug demand to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Take your tugboat fleet optimization to the next level — partner with us today and ensure your operations thrive in the changing maritime landscape.

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FAQ: Shipping Alliances Shift

How do changes in shipping alliances affect towage operators?

Restructures in shipping alliances, like the dissolution of the 2M Alliance and the formation of Gemini Cooperation, lead to shifts in vessel schedules, port call patterns, and container traffic distribution. For towage operators, this translates to fluctuating demand for tug services, necessitating efficient resource allocation and proactive adjustments to meet evolving operational needs.

What impact will the Gemini Cooperation have on the Port of Rotterdam?

The Port of Rotterdam is expected to see increased vessel activity due to the Gemini Cooperation between Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd. This partnership may bring larger ships and consolidated cargo volumes to Rotterdam’s terminals, requiring towage operators to handle more complex operations. Anticipating these changes and aligning tug resources with new demand patterns will be critical for ensuring smooth port operations.

What operational adjustments are needed following the dissolution of the 2M Alliance?

The end of the 2M Alliance disrupts established routes and vessel-sharing agreements between Maersk and MSC, leading to a reorganization of shipping networks. Towage operators must adapt to changes in vessel call frequencies and terminal preferences, which may cause uneven demand. Using predictive tools and data-driven strategies will help operators allocate tugs effectively and maintain service quality during this transition.

How can towage operators align their resources with shifting vessel and terminal demands in ports like Rotterdam?

To adapt to changes in vessel size, terminal assignments, and operator schedules, towage operators must analyze multiple variables, including the number and timing of vessel calls and the specific requirements of ultra-large container ships. Tools like LionRock Maritime’s Tug Capacity Tool help operators assess how evolving network patterns affect tug demand, enabling dynamic adjustments to fleet allocation and ensuring smooth port operations without overextending resources.

References for shipping alliances

https://app.eesea.com/news/gemini-cooperations-2025-voyages-unearthed

https://www.eesea.com/solutions

https://www.maersk.com/network-of-the-future

https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2023/01/25/maersk-and-msc-to-discontinue-2m-alliance-in-2025

Image References

Photo of container ships:

Photo by Wolfgang Weiser found on Unsplash

Photo by hoch3fotografie found on Unsplash

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Tugboat Industry Growth and Strategies: Navigating Emerging Markets with Data Insights

By
February 21, 2024

Category: Optimizing Revenue & Client Relations

Tugboat Industry - shipping industry problems and growth | LionRock Maritime
Foto von Dwi Cahyo auf Unsplash

Navigating the Tugboat Industry: Trends, Opportunities, and Data-Driven Insights


Exploring Emerging Markets and Leveraging Data Analytics for Success

The tugboat industry has been experiencing a period of sustained growth, driven by the rise in global trade and the expansion of offshore industries and infrastructure development in various regions. This guide aims to provide insights and strategies for businesses looking to tap into these emerging opportunities. It also emphasizes the importance of understanding regional demand, existing infrastructure, regulatory policies, and the competitive landscape when exploring market potential. In an ever-evolving industry, data analytics plays a critical role in helping businesses identify new markets and seize emerging opportunities.

Tugboat market outlook 2031 | LionRock Maritime
Tugboat Market - Transparency Market Research, June 2023 Tugboats Market by Type and Geography - Forecast and Analysis 2022-2026 - Technavio, September 2022

Opportunities in Towage Markets

Global Trade Expansion: 

While international maritime trade is expected to persist, recent reports paint a nuanced picture of its growth. The 2023 WTO October update suggests a slowdown in trade growth this year, while the UNCTAD 2023 report also projects a more cautious outlook. Despite trade volume contracting in 2022, the industry remained resilient, and moderated growth is expected in the coming term (2024-2028). 

These trade dynamics are shaped by intertwining factors such as regional production price arbitration, market specialization, resource availability, expansive trade policies, and substantial investments in infrastructure, encompassing ports, transportation networks, and ships. These factors not only affect the shipping sector, which must adapt to changing globalization patterns but also influence the demand for tugboat services, closely linked to international maritime trade. This interdependence poses challenges but also opportunities for growth in the towage market.

The towage market can capitalize on the changing globalization patterns, as the shipping sector is adapting. Accordingly, the macro factors can exert considerable influence on the towage sector’s growth and performance, offering opportunities for those who can address them. Moreover, the expansion of offshore industries, including oil and gas exploration and offshore wind farms, is expected to positively impact the tugboat market forecast in the next few years. Offshore industries involve extensive maritime operations, encompassing the installation, maintenance, and servicing of oil rigs, platforms, and sea-based wind farms. As the demand for (renewable) energy increases, the installation and maintenance of these facilities drive the demand for tugboat services, further enhancing the growth prospects of the towage sector.

Understanding Market Drivers, Trends, and Challenges

Evolving Energy Policies on Tugboat Operations

Understanding maritime policies and local political environment in ports and regions is crucial when considering investments in tugboat operations. Maritime policy will affect how trade flows and therefore will have a significant impact on the profitability of local towage operations. A notable example is the impact of the shift in energy sources, as was seen in the Amsterdam port and their 2017-decision to phase out coal shipments by 2030. In the year leading up to the decree, the port had already witnessed an approximate eight percent decline in coal transshipment volume in 2016. Since coal still represents a significant portion of handled cargo, directly influencing the type of vessels and services required, this decision, demonstrates the relevance of understanding evolving energy policies in local ports. 

Further, regional policies like the EU-ETS (European Union Emissions Trading System) introducing a carbon fee (methane and nitrous oxide to follow in 2026) on greenhouse gasses emitted in the sector, which is anticipated to reshape international shipping trade patterns. Especially between EU ports, where all voyages will be subject to ETS for 100% of their emissions. This imminent change underscores the necessity for market players to adapt and strategically invest in tugboat operations aligned with evolving policies and trade dynamics.

 

Economic and Political Factors

Moreover, economic factors like inflation have implications for trade volume, affecting the demand for tugboats as they service increased or decreased shipping activities. These are highly related to the general cost of products, driven by important commodities such as oil or gas. The resulting cost fluctuations affect the competitiveness of goods in the market, leading to shifts in trade volumes and altering the demand for tugboat services accordingly. Thus, the interplay between inflation, trade volumes, and product costs are crucial drivers in the towage market. 

In addition to inflation, various political factors can significantly influence trade, subsequently impacting the demand for towage services. Geopolitical tensions have prompted near- and friend-shoring strategies, altering trade routes and port preferences. For instance, recent tensions have seen a shift in trade patterns, affecting the need for tugboat services in certain regions. Notably, the geopolitical tensions between the United States and China in recent years have significantly altered trade dynamics and routes. Among other factors, it contributed to the 6.5% contraction in volumes on the major East-West routes from 2021 to 2022. In response to these tensions and trade disputes, many companies reevaluated their manufacturing and supply chain strategies. As a consequence of these strategic shifts, trade patterns were reshaped as companies select alternative routes and ports that are considered stable and secure for their shipments. These bring with them lucrative opportunities for the shipping industry, and by extension, the towage industry.

Exploring Market Potential: Identifying Emerging Opportunities

In the quest to seize opportunities in the ever-evolving towage industry, it is principal to conduct a comprehensive market analysis. By delving into the intricacies of emerging markets, you can gain a competitive edge and maximize your business potential. Here’s how to navigate this crucial phase:

 

Regional Demand for Towage Services:

Begin by assessing the specific demand for towage services in your target regions. Understand the maritime activities and volume of vessel traffic to gauge the potential market size. Take into account the types of services required, such as harbor towage and offshore support.

 

Existing Infrastructure and Ports:

The state of existing infrastructure, including ports and waterways, plays a pivotal role in market exploration. Infrastructure upgrades, expansions, and modernization efforts indicate growth potential. Identify regions where such improvements are underway or planned, as they signal increased demand for tugboat services.

 

Competitive Landscape and Potential Partnerships:

A thorough understanding of the competitive landscape is essential. Identify existing players, their market share, and the range of services they offer. Assess their strengths and weaknesses to identify areas where your business can excel. Consider potential partnership opportunities with local operators or infrastructure developers to enhance your market entry strategy.

Data Analytics can help Determine New Markets

By leveraging data analytics, businesses can strategically target their investments in these infrastructure developments, ensuring that the tugboat market can seamlessly support the growing maritime sectors in the rising markets. Data-driven insights play a pivotal role in ensuring that the expansion and adaptation of tugboat services align with the evolving demands of these emerging markets.

In this dynamic landscape, the role of data analytics in determining new markets cannot be understated. Data analytics empowers businesses in the tugboat industry to make informed decisions and identify emerging opportunities. Here’s how:

  1. Market Insights: Data analytics helps in the collection and analysis of market data, enabling businesses to understand the demand for tugboat services in different regions. It provides valuable insights into trade volumes, vessel traffic, and port operations, which are vital for market expansion strategies.
  2. Predictive Analysis: By harnessing historical and real-time data, predictive analytics can forecast trends in the maritime sector. This enables businesses to anticipate future demands for tugboat services in specific regions, aiding in resource allocation and strategic planning.
  3. Risk Assessment: Data analytics allows the identification of potential risks and challenges in new markets. It helps in evaluating the impact of factors such as fuel price fluctuations and regulatory changes, enabling businesses to mitigate risks effectively.
  4. Customer Behavior: Understanding customer behavior through data analytics can help businesses tailor their services to meet the unique needs of different markets. It allows for the development of specialized tugboat solutions, including eco-friendly options, aligning with regional preferences.
  5. Competitive Analysis: Data analytics tools provide insights into the competitive landscape of emerging markets. This knowledge aids in benchmarking against industry leaders and identifying opportunities for differentiation and innovation.
  6. Business case modelling; data analytics feeds your business case for new market entries with quantified and realistic scenario’s

 

 

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LionRock Maritime: Seizing Opportunities in Emerging Markets

In the ever-evolving tugboat industry, staying ahead of the competition and seizing opportunities in emerging markets demands cutting-edge solutions. LionRock Maritime is at the forefront of providing innovative services that empower your business to thrive in these dynamic markets. Here’s how LionRock Maritime offers attractive solutions to unlock new revenue streams in emerging towage markets.

 

Solution 1 – Port Exploration: Unlocking Market Insights

Whether you are at an early exploratory stage or have advanced in your business development trajectory, LionRock Maritime is your trusted partner. We provide the market insights and access you need, from initial market attractiveness explorations to detailed entry strategy scenario development.

Learn more about our Port Exploration Software

Our approach combines publicly available data and our proprietary algorithm to comprehensively assess towage activity in any port across the globe. Our towage pattern-recognition software delivers the facts, while our seasoned towage and business-development experts provide the invaluable insights you need to explore the most profitable opportunities.

 

Solution 2 – Market Tracking: Winning the Market with Data

Operating as a towage provider in a competitive port requires not only knowing who does what but, more importantly, how to win the market. LionRock Maritime offers a unique approach to market tracking, leveraging AIS data and algorithms to provide you with actionable insights.

Our towage pattern-recognition software delivers market facts, while our business-development expertise provides the insights you need to explore the most profitable opportunities. Our approach involves:

  • Tracking all ship assist movements, including timestamps, operator information, and terminal details.
  • Providing automated and customizable insights into your market share, the size of your market, and your competition’s activities.
  • Implementing algorithms to identify your strengths and weaknesses relative to competitors, allowing you to make propositions that give you a competitive edge.

Market Reports: We offer reports for measuring market share, tracking ship arrivals, market sizing updates, and identifying attractive business opportunities that can boost your operations without expanding your fleet size. 

Learn more about our Towage Market Reports

LionRock Maritime’s data-driven approach is your key to staying ahead in emerging towage markets. By providing valuable insights, reducing operational costs, and showcasing your superiority in service, we enable you to navigate the competitive waters with confidence and success.

Conclusion

In the tugboat industry, navigating the complexities of global trade dynamics and evolving energy policies requires a deep understanding and utilization of data-driven insights to identify emerging markets and opportunities. The strategic application of these insights enables businesses to adapt and thrive in a competitive landscape. LionRock Maritime offers a suite of services that empower companies to harness these critical data analytics, positioning them for success in emerging towage markets.

Expand your business in emerging towage markets

In a dynamic and competitive tugboat industry, the ability to seize opportunities in emerging markets is essential for growth and success. LionRock Maritime offers innovative solutions to empower businesses in this sector. From providing market insights and market tracking to delivering data-driven reports, LionRock Maritime equips companies with the tools and expertise needed to stay ahead in the evolving towage market. By leveraging data analytics and cutting-edge solutions, businesses can navigate these competitive waters with confidence and unlock new revenue streams in emerging towage markets.

 

Want to expand? Schedule a meeting to discuss how LionRock help you capitalize on opportunities in new towage markets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the driving forces behind the recent growth in the tugboat industry?

Recent reports depict nuanced growth in international maritime trade, anticipating a slowdown. Factors like trade dynamics, infrastructure investments, and offshore industry expansion intricately shape this outlook. These aspects, intertwined with tugboat service demand, present challenges and opportunities, influenced by globalization patterns and energy sector growth.

What factors and policies influence the tugboat industry's operations and market trends?

Several factors and policies impact the tugboat industry, including evolving energy policies in specific ports and regions. For example, shifts in energy sources, like the phase-out of coal shipments in ports, and regulatory frameworks like the EU-ETS, introducing carbon fees on greenhouse gas emissions in the maritime sector, significantly impact trade dynamics, altering demand for tugboat services.

What role does data analytics play in the tugboat industry, particularly in identifying new markets?

Data analytics is crucial for the tugboat industry as it helps in multiple aspects. It provides insights into market demand, forecasts trends in the maritime sector, assesses risks, understands customer behavior, and analyzes the competitive landscape of emerging markets. By leveraging data analytics, businesses can make informed decisions and identify opportunities for growth and differentiation in new markets.

How can LionRock Maritime assist businesses in the tugboat industry in seizing opportunities in emerging markets?

LionRock Maritime offers innovative solutions to empower businesses in the tugboat industry. They provide market insights, market tracking, and data-driven reports. Their approach combines publicly available data and proprietary algorithms to assess towage activity comprehensively. This enables businesses to make well-informed decisions, reduce operational costs, and gain a competitive edge in emerging towage markets, ultimately leading to success and profitability.

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